Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000186 0.000207 0.000229 0.000254 0.000283 0.000315 0.000352
2025-04-27 0.000152 0.000182 0.000218 0.000262 0.000318 0.000384 0.000471
2025-05-04 0.000128 0.000162 0.000204 0.000261 0.000338 0.000436 0.000574
2025-05-11 0.000112 0.000149 0.000196 0.000264 0.000359 0.000490 0.000687
2025-05-18 0.000100 0.000136 0.000187 0.000262 0.000373 0.000533 0.000789
2025-05-25 0.000089 0.000127 0.000179 0.000260 0.000385 0.000575 0.000894
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000117 0.000171 0.000257 0.000394 0.000612 0.000994
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000107 0.000160 0.000248 0.000392 0.000630 0.001068
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000103 0.000158 0.000251 0.000410 0.000683 0.001207
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000100 0.000157 0.000256 0.000433 0.000745 0.001373
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000093 0.000150 0.000251 0.000435 0.000772 0.001476
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000086 0.000141 0.000240 0.000427 0.000780 0.001540
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000083 0.000138 0.000242 0.000443 0.000836 0.001721
2025-07-20 0.000048 0.000081 0.000137 0.000247 0.000467 0.000913 0.001964
2025-07-27 0.000045 0.000077 0.000133 0.000246 0.000478 0.000965 0.002159
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000074 0.000131 0.000248 0.000496 0.001034 0.002412
2025-08-10 0.000040 0.000071 0.000128 0.000246 0.000505 0.001085 0.002630
2025-08-17 0.000038 0.000068 0.000124 0.000245 0.000514 0.001138 0.002863
2025-08-24 0.000035 0.000064 0.000120 0.000242 0.000520 0.001182 0.003082
2025-08-31 0.000033 0.000060 0.000114 0.000233 0.000512 0.001192 0.003209
2025-09-07 0.000031 0.000059 0.000113 0.000236 0.000531 0.001274 0.003565
2025-09-14 0.000030 0.000058 0.000113 0.000241 0.000556 0.001375 0.004006
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000055 0.000109 0.000236 0.000555 0.001406 0.004232